区域物流与区域经济增长——基于面板单位跟与面板协整的分析
摘要：物流对经济发展的巨大贡献使得区域物流与区域经济增长关系成为区域经济理论研究中的一个新课题。如何界定区域物流中哪些因素是促进区域经济发展的原动力就显得格外重要，其目的是要揭示未来物流业的发展前景和经济增长的潜力。本文运用面板单位根和面板协整方法，基于1978-2004年30个省、直辖市、自治区的面板数据，实证分析表明区域物流增长与区域经济增长存在面板协整关系，即长期均衡正相关关系；物流基础设施增长和简单的物流数量的增长均不能对经济增长产生较大的影响；我国应该适当必须提高物流的服务质量，加快物流的信息化、现代化，繁荣商品市场以扩大潜在的物流需求，以支持经济增长。
关键词：区域物流 区域经济 面板单位根 面板协整
Regional Logistics and Regional Economy growth: A Panel Unit Toot & Panel Cointegration Analysis
Abstract: The huge contribution of logistics to economic development makes the relation of regional logistics and regional economy growth become a new topic in regional economy theory. How to define which factors promote regional economic development seems to be particularly important, which purpose is to announce to public the development foreground of the logistics industry and the potential of the economic growth in the future. Using panel root test and panel cointegration, this paper examines the impact of regional logistics on economics growth. There is the evidence of a cointegrating between regional economics growth and regional logistics among the sample provinces, whose data are from 1978 to 2004 across thirty China provinces. The data indicate that regional logistics boosts economics growth. Both the increase of the logistics infrastructure and simple logistics amount can't bring about bigger influence on economic growth; we should improve the quality of logistics service, realize information-based and modernization, flourish commodity market to support economic growth.
Key words: regional logisitics regional economy Panel unit root Panel cointegration
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