发展中国家基于主体的财富分布经济仿真

Agent Based Simulations of Wealth Distribution in Developing Countries

王利  研究领域：计算机经济仿真模型

作者的联系方式：电话 87181365 13651110967

（首都经济贸易大学经济学院，北京 100026 wanglimq@cueb.edu.cn ）

摘要：描述经济增长与收入分配关系的库兹涅茨倒U型曲线假说是否具有普遍性一直在经济学界备受争议。本文利用基于主体的计算机仿真方法，模拟了传统经济与现代化产业并存的二元经济体实现工业化的财富分布动态过程，检验了不同的经济政策对经济增长和财富分配的影响。针对我国的具体国情，模拟出基尼系数高居不下的情景，并提出从初次分配的源头上遏制收入分配差距过大的根本措施。

关键词：财富分布   经济仿真模型   倒U型假说   基尼系数

Abstract: Kuznets-curve for describing economic growth and income inequality has long been involved disputes. This paper described dynamic processes of wealth distribution in developing countries using multi-agent based simulation methods, verified the impacts on wealth distributions caused by different economy policies. According to China’s particular situation, simulate the high Gini-index circumstance, and proposed measures of how to hold back income inequality from the first wealth distribution.

Keyword: Wealth Distribution, Simulation model of Economy, Inverted U Hypothesis, Gini Index