公共资本、政府公共支出与省区经济增长收敛再检验:基于面板数据模型实证分析 部分内容如下:
公共资本、政府公共支出与省区经济增长收敛再检验
——基于面板数据模型实证分析
吴颖 周靖祥*
(重庆大学 贸易及行政学院 重庆,400030)
摘要:本文在测算1990~2005年31个省市的生产性公共资本存量基础上,通过研究公共支出对经济增长的贡献弹性发现:非生产性公共支出与经济增长呈负相关关系,与此相反,公共资本却有利于省区经济增长。经济增长收敛模型的实证结果表明包含公共支出变量的情况下,20世纪90年代以来出现新古典经济增长收敛趋势,生产性公共资本的趋同速度分别为16.4%和16.2%,与非生产性公共支出的趋同速度为-0.132%。上述结论为政府公共支出的增量规模与结构优化提供理论借鉴。最后给出改变目前省区公共支出状况的政策建议,将给予省区财政政策制定的修订思路,也将是缩小区域经济差距的有效措施。
关键词:公共支出 公共资本经济增长收敛
The Reinsertion of the Relationship between the Convergence Analyses of Economic Growth and Public Expenditure among Provinces: A Study Based on the Panel Data Model
Wu Ying Zhou Jing-xiang
(Trade and Administration College, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400030, China)
Abstracts:This paper firstly gives the calculation during 1990~2005 of 31 provinces and cities for the production public capital storage quantity, on the foundation then through the research for discovered public disbursement contribution elasticity which grows to the economy that: the unproductive public disbursement and the economical growth assumes the inverse correlation relations, on the contrary, the public capital is actually advantageous to the provincial capital area economy growth. The Empirical Research results for Convergence of interprovincial economic growth model indicates Neoclassical growth convergence trend by containing the common disbursement variable since 1990's, and speed that for common capital of childbirth tending towards difference with speed for 16.4% and 16.2%,with nonproductive common disbursement are -0.132%. The above-mentioned conclusion draws lessons for common disbursement of government increment scale and structural optimization provide theory. Being changed by take place finally saving common area disbursement situation policy suggestion at present, will give revising that province area fiscal policy works out a train of thought, will also be to reduce regional economies gap effective measure.
Keywords:Public Expenditure Convergence of Economic Growth Public Capital
* 吴颖(1977—):教授,女,汉族,重庆大学贸易与行政学院讲师,重庆大学经济与工商管理学院博士研究生,研究方向:数量经济学;籍贯:重庆;电话:13594082666,邮箱:wymx@cqu.edu.cn。周靖祥,重庆大学贸易及行政学院硕士研究生,邮箱:zhoujingx@126.com。本文是教育部人文社科研究规划基金项目(02JA790062)、国家社会科学基金(04xjy045)和07年“和谐社会的微观经济理论研究”的阶段性成果。
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