劳动力流动、资本转移和生产率增长[1]

 李小平 卢现祥

（中南财经政法大学经济学院）

 

【摘要】：要素流动是影响生产率增长的一个重要原因，两者的关系反映在“结构红利假说”中。本文使用shift-share方法，采用1998-2004年期间中国省际工业的数据，将中国工业的劳动生产率增长和TFP增长分解为劳动力流动效应、资本转移效应和其它效应，发现劳动力流动对生产率增长的促进作用不显著；资本转移对生产率增长具有一定的促进作用；尽管要素有从低Verdoorn弹性值向高低Verdoorn弹性值的地区工业转移，但是劳动力流动和资本转移对生产率增长的总贡献仍然较小，“结构红利假说”现象仍不显著。因此，更合理的配置省际工业间的生产要素显得很有必要。

关键词：要素流动；生产率增长；结构红利假说

JEL Classification: C812， A

 

 

The Labor Shift 、Capital Shift and Productivity Growth

(Li Xiaoping  Lu Xianxiang)

 

Abstract:The factor shift is the important reason of Productivity Growth. The relation between them is reflected in the Structural -Bonus Hypothesis. This paper examines the relation betweenProvince Industrial Sector and Productivity Growth during the period 1998-2004, using the conventional and extending shift-share analysis. The results show the structural-bonus hypothesis is not notable; the inputs of labor don’t shift to more productive industries from less productive industries. The main powers to promote the Province Industrial Sector’s productivity growth are the within-growth effect.

Key words: Factor Shift; Productivity Growth; The Structural -Bonus Hypothesis

 

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