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A Unified Theory of Underreaction, Momentum Trading, and Overreaction in

文件格式:Pdf 可复制性:可复制 TAG标签: Trading Theory Momentum Overreaction Unified 点击次数: 更新时间:2009-09-28 15:07
介绍

We model a market populated by two groups of boundedly rational agents: "newswatchers"and "momentum traders." Each newswatcher observes some private information,but fails to extract other newswatchers' information from prices. If information diffuses gradually across the population, prices underreact in the short run. The underreaction means that the momentum traders can profit by trendchasing.However, if they can only implement simple (i.e., univariate) strategies,their attempts at arbitrage must inevitably lead to overreaction at long horizons.In addition to providing a unified account of under- and overreactions, the model generates several other distinctive implications.

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