Contents
Introduction vii
Setting the Stage xiii
Part One: Perspective
1. The Core Idea 3
2. Autobiography of a Failed Philosopher 12
3. The Theory of Reflexivity 25
4. Reflexivity in Financial Markets 51
Part Two:
The Current Crisis and Beyond
5. The Super-Bubble Hypothesis 81
6. Autobiography of a Successful Speculator 106
7. My Outlook for 2008 122
8. Some Policy Recommendations 142
Conclusion 153
Acknowledgments 161
About the Author 163